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Expected trend Bullish 12/09/2017
The EURUSD pair settles around the EMA50 that continues to form intraday support base against the price, while stochastic shows clear oversold signals, to keep the chances valid to resume the main bullish trend, and the price needs to ease the mission of rising again.
In general, we will continue to suggest the bullish trend in the upcoming sessions unless breaking 1.1915 level and holding below it, waiting to target 1.2100 followed by 1.2300 levels mainly, noting that breaking 1.1915 will push the price to test areas that reach to 1.1820 initially before any new attempt to rise.
Expected trading range for today is between 1.1900 support and 1.2060 resistance.
Expected trend for today: Bullish
Six Keys to Successful Forex Trading
The success of the trader depends on himself, whether he is ready to become successful or not. It should always be remembered that there is no instant way to success in this world. There is no shortcut for freedom. Everything requires struggle and sacrifice, one should become absorbed in what he's doing both physically and mentally. Being a successful trader is not an easy thing, but it is also possible to achieve. Making profit is the way to trader's success and strong determination is the key.
There are some important things on the Forex market which every trader should get to know. Let's take a more detailed look on them.
Basically, the main goal of any trader is making profit and increasing wealth by using the price movements. Such famous traders as George Soros, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and his allies are those who make the price to move on the Forex market. Let's call them the Market Makers (MM). The MM have a large capital that can move the Forex market, they can even shake the economic stability of some countries if they wish to do that. The retail trader with limited capital capabilities is like small fish versus sharks.
Because of the panic the orders of the trader may be closed by stop loss or even worse by stop out.
When the MM open short positions, the price starts to move up smoothly and gradually and after a while a sharp up movement takes place which then begins to weaken slowly. This process is known as "out of steam". It means that the MM stop buying because they think the price is too high. This causes the side-way movement of the price and the flat takes place on the market. From that moment the MM will wait for important economic news which will be a momentum for them to improve their position (to continue opening new buy orders, to open sell orders or not to do anything).
When the news are released, the market will start moving fast and chaotic, the prices will go up and down quickly. This is a "shake out" caused by the MM. Often, the retail trader is trapped by this situation and starts to open transactions carelessly. He is afraid to “miss his train”. Because of the panic the orders of the trader may be closed by stop loss or even worse by stop out.
Thus, the first key to the trader's success is "not to panic and not to open orders without calculation!".
There are no methods of financial analysis which can predict the price movements with 100% accuracy. It happens because Forex market is moved by the human psychology. Desire to get profit, fear of loss, panic and other feelings or emotions influence the Forex market movement. The proverb says: "Depth of sea can be seen, but who knows the hearts of people?". The same is with the Forex market, it is impossible to know anything for sure on it and this is the second key you should remember.
Nevertheless, Forex has a memory. The price movements repeat from time to time and it helps traders to understand the Forex market and to create some tools for trading analysis. Thus such popular methods and instruments of technical analysis as Elliott Wave analysis, Gartley pattern analysis, candlestick pattern analysis, analysis of WD Gann, various expert advisors and indicators were founded.
As it has been already mentioned, the market is very unpredictable. This means that trading process requires some humility. A trader should respect the “will” of the market. He should have the humility in order to manage the situation when market is moving against the analysis and trading strategy.
Trader with his strategy on the Forex market is like an adventurer who stays alone with GPS device in the forest. But at a certain moment, his GPS turns off and he goes in the wrong direction. When the adventurer gets lost, he tries to remember his way, realizes his mistakes and makes decisions which help him to reach the goal. The same is while trading if you have a humility to stop for a while and to think over all the mistakes which were made you will reach your trading goals.
So as you see the third key to success on Forex is "to have a humility and to think over before making decisions".
The humility helps to keep calm in any situation. Professional traders are those who have patience to wait until the conditions on the Forex market correspond to their trading strategy and they have an opportunity to make profit. Patience is required from the moment the order is opened and till it is closed. But it is especially important in the middle of a transaction, when trader needs to watch the price movement which can go any direction and stay calm in order not to close the order too early or too late.
Discipline helps trader to stay cold-minded and to open and close each order without hesitation and fear.
Nial Fuller, a professional trader said that the most appropriate animal to describe himself as a professional trader is an ALLIGATOR. Crocodiles exist in this world for millions of years. Alligator does not spend their time on small prey. It saves energy for the big prey, staying patient and waiting for a long time. But as soon as the prey is in the range lunge, alligator does not hesitate to grab it. Of course, alligator's hunting is not always successful. But this animal has a patience to continue doing its job and finally reach the desired goal.
The fourth key to success is “to be patient while trading”.
One of the ways to manage uncertainty on the Forex market is to discipline yourself. When it is impossible to predict the market movement professional traders protect their accounts with self-discipline. They create the trading plan which they don't break no matter what is the situation on the market.
Discipline helps trader to stay cold-minded and to open and close each order without hesitation and fear. He believes in the profitability of his trading strategy. And even when the market moves against it, trader remains calm and respect the will of the market. This situation is not a surprise for the trader because he has already thought over the worst scenario which can happen while trading.
So the fifth key is “to discipline yourself and to have a trading plan which should not be broken”.
The Forex market is a neutral. Only traders give the special meaning to every movement of the price. They interpret the conditions which occur on the Forex market due to the experience and knowledge they've got. But in fact the real Forex market is neutral!
For a newbie Forex charts are nothing more than colored beams moving up and down. When trader gets some experience these movements become signals with special meaning which he can use in his trading strategy. If trader forgets about the uncertainty of such signals and become confident about their meaning he may become trapped with his confidence in case market moves against his plans.
But understanding and accepting the fact that the Forex market is neutral the pro trader will become free from the blockades of his confidence. He will act according to his strategies and plans but he will also remember about the possibility of undesirable results of his trading.
Any price movement on Forex is not wrong or right it is just the fact that conditions on the market have changed, nothing more. So the last key the trader's success is “to remember that Forex market is neutral” and if you don't forget about it you will be free to make any trading decision without fear to make a mistake.